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Elaborating on Datadash's 50k BTC Prediction: Why We Endorse the Call

As originally published via CoinLive
I am the Co-Founder at CoinLive. Prior to founding Coinlive.io, my area of expertise was inter-market analysis. I came across Datadash 50k BTC prediction this week, and I must take my hats off to what I believe is an excellent interpretation of the inter-connectivity of various markets.
At your own convenience, you can find a sample of Intermarket analysis I've written in the past before immersing myself into cryptos full-time.
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The purpose of this article is to dive deeper into the factors Datadash presents in his video and how they can help us draw certain conclusions about the potential flows of capital into crypto markets and the need that will exist for a BTC ETF.
Before I do so, as a brief explainer, let's touch on what exactly Intermarket analysis refers to:
Intermarket analysis is the global interconnectivity between equities, bonds, currencies, commodities, and any other asset class; Global markets are an ever-evolving discounting and constant valuation mechanism and by studying their interconnectivity, we are much better positioned to explain and elaborate on why certain moves occur, future directions and gain insights on potential misalignments that the market may not have picked up on yet or might be ignoring/manipulating.
While such interconnectivity has proven to be quite limiting when it comes to the value one can extract from analyzing traditional financial assets and the crypto market, Datadash has eloquently been able to build a hypothesis, which as an Intermarket analyst, I consider very valid, and that matches up my own views. Nicolas Merten constructs a scenario which leads him to believe that a Bitcoin ETF is coming. Let's explore this hypothesis.
I will attempt to summarize and provide further clarity on why the current events in traditional asset classes, as described by Datadash, will inevitably result in a Bitcoin ETF. Make no mistake, Datadash's call for Bitcoin at 50k by the end of 2018 will be well justified once a BTC ETF is approved. While the timing is the most challenging part t get right, the end result won't vary.
If one wishes to learn more about my personal views on why a BTC ETF is such a big deal, I encourage you to read my article from late March this year.
Don't Be Misled by Low Liquidity/Volume - Fundamentals Never Stronger
The first point Nicholas Merten makes is that despite depressed volume levels, the fundamentals are very sound. That, I must say, is a point I couldn't agree more. In fact, I recently wrote an article titled The Paradox: Bitcoin Keeps Selling as Intrinsic Value Set to Explode where I state "the latest developments in Bitcoin's technology makes it paradoxically an ever increasingly interesting investment proposition the cheaper it gets."
However, no article better defines where we stand in terms of fundamentals than the one I wrote back on May 15th titled Find Out Why Institutions Will Flood the Bitcoin Market, where I look at the ever-growing list of evidence that shows why a new type of investors, the institutional ones, looks set to enter the market in mass.
Nicholas believes that based on the supply of Bitcoin, the market capitalization can reach about $800b. He makes a case that with the fundamentals in bitcoin much stronger, it wouldn't be that hard to envision the market cap more than double from its most recent all-time high of more than $300b.
Interest Rates Set to Rise Further
First of all, one of the most immediate implications of higher rates is the increased difficulty to bear the costs by borrowers, which leads Nicholas to believe that banks the likes of Deutsche Bank will face a tough environment going forward. The CEO of the giant German lender has actually warned that second-quarter results would reflect a “revenue environment [that] remains challenging."
Nicholas refers to the historical chart of Eurodollar LIBOR rates as illustrated below to strengthen the case that interest rates are set to follow an upward trajectory in the years to come as Central Banks continue to normalize monetary policies after a decade since the global financial crisis. I'd say, that is a correct assumption, although one must take into account the Italian crisis to be aware that a delay in higher European rates is a real possibility now.
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/947/content_2018-05-30_1100.png)
Let's look at the following combinations: Fed Fund Rate Contract (green), German 2-year bond yields (black) and Italy's 10-year bond yield (blue) to help us clarify what's the outlook for interest rates both in Europe and the United States in the foreseeable future. The chart suggests that while the Federal Reserve remains on track to keep increasing interest rates at a gradual pace, there has been a sudden change in the outlook for European rates in the short-end of the curve.
While the European Central Bank is no longer endorsing proactive policies as part of its long-standing QE narrative, President Mario Draghi is still not ready to communicate an exit strategy to its unconventional stimulus program due to protectionism threats in the euro-area, with Italy the latest nightmare episode.
Until such major step is taken in the form of a formal QE conclusion, interest rates in the European Union will remain depressed; the latest drastic spike in Italy's benchmark bond yield to default levels is pre-emptive of lower rates for longer, an environment that on one hand may benefit the likes of Deutsche Bank on lower borrowing costs, but on the other hand, sets in motion a bigger headache as risk aversion is set to dominate financial markets, which leads to worse financial consequences such as loss of confidence and hence in equity valuations.
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/948/content_2018-05-30_1113.png)
Deutsche Bank - End of the Road?
Nicholas argues that as part of the re-restructuring process in Deutsche Bank, they will be facing a much more challenging environment as lending becomes more difficult on higher interest rates. At CoinLive, we still believe this to be a logical scenario to expect, even if a delay happens as the ECB tries to deal with the Italian political crisis which once again raises the question of whether or not Italy should be part of the EU. Reference to an article by Zerohedge is given, where it states:
"One day after the WSJ reported that the biggest German bank is set to "decimate" its workforce, firing 10,000 workers or one in ten, this morning Deutsche Bank confirmed plans to cut thousands of jobs as part of new CEO Christian Sewing's restructuring and cost-cutting effort. The German bank said its headcount would fall “well below” 90,000, from just over 97,000. But the biggest gut punch to employee morale is that the bank would reduce headcount in its equities sales and trading business by about 25%."
There is an undeniably ongoing phenomenon of a migration in job positions from traditional financial markets into blockchain, which as we have reported in the past, it appears to be a logical and rational step to be taken, especially in light of the new revenue streams the blockchain sector has to offer. Proof of that is the fact that Binance, a crypto exchange with around 200 employees and less than 1 year of operations has overcome Deutsche Bank, in total profits. What this communicates is that the opportunities to grow an institution’s revenue stream are formidable once they decide to integrate cryptocurrencies into their business models.
One can find an illustration of Deutsche Bank's free-fall in prices below:
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/946/content_2018-05-30_1052.png)
Nicholas takes notes of a chart in which one can clearly notice a worrying trend for Italian debt. "Just about every other major investor type has become a net seller (to the ECB) or a non-buyer of BTPs over the last couple of years. Said differently, for well over a year, the only marginal buyer of Italian bonds has been the ECB!", the team of Economists at Citi explained. One can find the article via ZeroHedge here.
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/953/content_2018-05-30_1451.png)
Equities & Housing to Suffer the Consequences
Nicholas notes that trillions of dollars need to exit these artificially-inflated equity markets. He even mentions a legendary investor such as George Soros, who has recently warned that the world could be on the brink of another devastating financial crisis, on lingering debt concerns in Europe and a strengthening US dollar, as a destabilizing factor for both the US's emerging- and developed-market rivals.
Ray Dalio, another legend in the investing world and Founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, "has ramped up its short positions in European equities in recent weeks, bringing their total value to an estimated $22 billion", MarketWatch reports.
Nicholas extracts a chart by John Del Vecchio at lmtr.com where it illustrates the ratio between stocks and commodities at the lowest in over 50 years.
As the author states:
"I like to look for extremes in the markets. Extremes often pinpoint areas where returns can be higher and risk lower than in other time periods. Take the relationship between commodities and stocks. The chart below shows that commodities haven not been cheaper than stocks in a generation. We often hear this time it is different” to justify what’s going on in the world. But, one thing that never changes is human nature. People push markets to extremes. Then they revert. "
![](https://coinlive.io/ckeditor_assets/pictures/954/content_2018-05-30_1459.png)
Bitcoin ETF the Holy Grail for a Cyclical Multi-Year Bull Run
It is precisely from this last chart above that leads Nicholas to believe we are on the verge of a resurgence in commodity prices. Not only that but amid the need of all this capital to exit stocks and to a certain extent risky bonds (Italian), a new commodity-based digital currency ETF based on Bitcoin will emerge in 2018.
The author of Datadash highlights the consideration to launching a Bitcoin ETF by the SEC. At CoinLive, our reporting of the subject can be found below:
"Back in April, it was reported that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has put back on the table two Bitcoin ETF proposals, according to public documents. The agency is under formal proceedings to approve a rule change that would allow NYSE Arca to list two exchange-traded funds (ETFs) proposed by fund provider ProShares. The introduction of an ETF would make Bitcoin available to a much wider share of market participants, with the ability to directly buy the asset at the click of a button, essentially simplifying the current complexity that involves having to deal with all the cumbersome steps currently in place."
Nicholas refers to the support the Bitcoin ETF has been receiving by the Cboe president Chris Concannon, which is a major positive development. CoinLive reported on the story back in late March, noting that "a Bitcoin ETF will without a doubt open the floodgates to an enormous tsunami of fresh capital entering the space, which based on the latest hints by Concannon, the willingness to keep pushing for it remains unabated as the evolution of digital assets keeps its course."
It has been for quite some time CoinLive's conviction, now supported by no other than Nicholas Merten from Datadash, that over the next 6 months, markets will start factoring in the event of the year, that is, the approval of a Bitcoin ETF that will serve as a alternative vehicle to accommodate the massive flows of capital leaving some of the traditional asset classes. As Nicholas suggests, the SEC will have little choice but to provide alternative investments.
Bitcoin as a Hedge to Lower Portfolios' Volatility
Last but not least, crypto assets such as Bitcoin and the likes have an almost non-existent correlation to other traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, and commodities, which makes for a very attractive and broadly-applicable diversification strategy for the professional money as it reduces one’s portfolio volatility. The moment a Bitcoin ETF is confirmed, expect the non-correlation element of Bitcoin as a major driving force to attract further capital.
Anyone Can Be Wrong Datadash, But You Won't be Wrong Alone
Having analyzed the hypothesis by Nicholas Merten, at CoinLive we believe that the conclusion reached, that is, the creation of a Bitcoin ETF that will provide shelter to a tsunami of capital motivated by the diversification and store of value appeal of Bitcoin, is the next logical step. As per the timing of it, we also anticipate, as Nicholas notes, that it will most likely be subject to the price action in traditional assets. Should equities and credit markets hold steady, it may result in a potential delay, whereas disruption in the capital market may see the need for a BTC ETF accelerate. Either scenario, we will conclude with a quote we wrote back in March.
"It appears as though an ETF on Bitcoin is moving from a state of "If" to "When."
Datadash is certainly not alone on his 50k call. BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes appears to think along the same line.
On behalf of the CoinLive Team, we want to thank Nicholas Merten at Datadash for such enlightening insights.
submitted by Ivo333 to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

"Satoshi Nakamoto" the mysterious creator of Bitcoin is no other than the CIA

Bitcoin has surged to all time highs, Who created Bitcoin, and why?
The creator of Bitcoin is officially a name, “Satoshi Nakamoto” – very few people believe that it was a single male from Japan. In the early days of Bitcoin development this name is associated with original key-creation and communications on message boards, and then the project was officially handed over to others at which point this Satoshi character never appeared again (Although from time to time someone will come forward saying they are the real Satoshi Nakamoto, and then have their posts deleted).
Bitcoin could very well be the ‘one world currency’ that conspiracy theorists have been talking about for some time. It’s a kill five birds with one stone solution – not only is Bitcoin an ideal one world currency, it allows law enforcement a perfect record of all transactions on the network. It states very clearly on bitcoin.org (the official site) in big letters “Bitcoin is not anonymous” :
Some effort is required to protect your privacy with Bitcoin. All Bitcoin transactions are stored publicly and permanently on the network, which means anyone can see the balance and transactions of any Bitcoin address. However, the identity of the user behind an address remains unknown until information is revealed during a purchase or in other circumstances. This is one reason why Bitcoin addresses should only be used once.
Another advantage of Bitcoin is the problem of Quantitative Easing – the Fed (and thus, nearly all central banks in the world) have painted themselves in a corner, metaphorically speaking. QE ‘solved’ the credit crisis, but QE itself does not have a solution. Currently all currencies are in a race to zero – competing with who can print more money faster. Central Bankers who are in systemic analysis, their economic advisors, know this. They know that the Fiat money system is doomed, all what you can read online is true (just sensationalized) – it’s a debt based system based on nothing. That system was created, originally in the early 1900’s and refined during Breton Woods followed by the Nixon shock (This is all explained well in Splitting Pennies). In the early 1900’s – there was no internet! It is a very archaic system that needs to be replaced, by something modern, electronic, based on encryption. Bitcoin! It’s a currency based on ‘bits’ – but most importantly, Bitcoin is not the ‘one world currency’ per se, but laying the framework for larger cryptocurrency projects. In the case of central banks, who control the global monetary system, that would manifest in ‘Settlement Coin’ :
Two resources available almost exclusively to central banks could soon be opened up to additional users as a result of a new digital currency project designed by a little-known startup and Swiss bank UBS. One of those resources is the real-time gross settlement (RTGS) system used by central banks (it’s typically reserved for high-value transactions that need to be settled instantly), and the other is central bank-issued cash. Using the Utility Settlement Coin (USC) unveiled today, the five-member consortium that has sprung up around the project aims to help central banks open-up access to these tools to more customers. If successful, USC has the potential to create entirely new business models built on instant settling and easy cash transfers. In interview, Robert Sams, founder of London-based Clearmatics, said his firm initially worked with UBS to build the network, and that BNY Mellon, Deutsche Bank, ICAP and Santander are only just the first of many future members.
the NSA/CIA often works for big corporate clients, just as it has become a cliche that the Iraq war was about big oil, the lesser known hand in global politics is the banking sector. In other words, Bitcoin may have very well been ‘suggested’ or ‘sponsored’ by a banker, group of banks, or financial services firm. But the NSA (as we surmise) was the company that got the job done. And probably, if it was in fact ‘suggested’ or ‘sponsored’ by a private bank, they would have been waiting in the wings to develop their own Bitcoin related systems or as in the above “Settlement Coin.” So the NSA made Bitcoin – so what?
The FX markets currently represent the exchange between ‘major’ and ‘minor’ currencies. In the future, why not too they will include ‘cryptocurrencies’ – we’re already seeing the BTC/EUR pair popup on obscure brokers. When BTC/USD and BTC/EUR are available at major FX banks and brokers, we can say – from a global FX perspective, that Bitcoin has ‘arrived.’ Many of us remember the days when the synthetic “Euro” currency was a new artificial creation that was being adopted, although the Euro project is thousands of degrees larger than the Bitcoin project. But unlike the Euro, Bitcoin is being adopted at a near exponential rate by demand (Many merchants resisted the switch to Euros claiming it was eating into their profit margins and they were right!).
And to answer the question as to why Elite E Services is not actively involved in Bitcoin the answer is that previously, you can’t trade Bitcoin. Now we’re starting to see obscure brokers offering BTC/EUR but the liquidity is sparse and spreads are wacky – that will all change. When we can trade BTC/USD just like EUUSD you can bet that EES and a host of other algorithmic FX traders will be all over it! It will be an interesting trade for sure, especially with all the volatility, the cross ‘pairs’ – and new cryptocurrencies. For the record, for brokers- there’s not much difference adding a new symbol (currency pair) in MT4 they just need liquidity, which has been difficult to find.
So there’s really nothing revolutionary about Bitcoin, it’s just a logical use of technology in finance considering a plethora of problems faced by any central bank who creates currency. And there are some interesting caveats to Bitcoin as compared to major currencies; Bitcoin is a closed system (there are finite Bitcoin) – this alone could make such currencies ‘anti-inflationary’ and at the least, hold their value (the value of the USD continues to deteriorate slowly over time as new M3 introduced into the system.) But we need to pay
Here’s some interesting theories about who or whom is Satoshi:
A corporate conglomerate
Some researchers proposed that the name ‘Satoshi Nakamoto’ was derived from a combination of tech companies consisting of Samsung, Toshiba, Nakayama, and Motorola. The notion that the name was a pseudonym is clearly true and it is doubtful they reside in Japan given the numerous forum posts with a distinctly English dialect.
Craig Steven Wright
This Australian entrepreneur claims to be the Bitcoin creator and provided proof. But soon after, his offices were raided by the tax authorities on ‘an unrelated matter’
Soon after these stories were published, authorities in Australia raided the home of Mr Wright. The Australian Taxation Office said the raid was linked to a long-running investigation into tax payments rather than Bitcoin. Questioned about this raid, Mr Wright said he was cooperating fully with the ATO. “We have lawyers negotiating with them over how much I have to pay,” he said.
Other potential creators
Nick Szabo, and many others, have been suggested as potential Satoshi – but all have denied it:
The New Yorker published a piece pointing at two possible Satoshis, one of whom seemed particularly plausible: a cryptography graduate student from Trinity College, Dublin, who had gone on to work in currency-trading software for a bank and published a paper on peer-to-peer technology. The other was a Research Fellow at the Oxford Internet Institute, Vili Lehdonvirta. Both made denials. Fast Company highlighted an encryption patent application filed by three researchers – Charles Bry, Neal King and Vladimir Oks­man – and a circumstantial link involving textual analysis of it and the Satoshi paper which found the phrase “…computationally impractical to reverse” in both. Again, it was flatly denied.
THE WINNER: It was the NSA
The NSA has the capability, the motive, and the operational capacity – they have teams of cryptographers, the biggest fastest supercomputers in the world, and they see the need. Whether instructed by their friends at the Fed, in cooperation with their owners (i.e. Illuminati banking families), or as part of a DARPA project – is not clear and will never be known (unless a whistleblower comes forward). In fact, the NSA employs some of the best mathematicians and cryptographers in the world. Few know about their work because it’s a secret, and this isn’t the kind of job you leave to start your own cryptography company.
But the real smoking Gun, aside from the huge amount of circumstantial evidence and lack of a credible alternative, is the 1996 paper authored by NSA “HOW TO MAKE A MINT: THE CRYPTOGRAPHY OF ANONYMOUS ELECTRONIC CASH”
The NSA was one of the first organizations to describe a Bitcoin-like system. About twelve years before Satoshi Nakamotopublished his legendary white paper to the Metzdowd.com cryptography mailing list, a group of NSA information security researchers published a paper entitled How to Make a Mint: the Cryptography of Anonymous Electronic Cash in two prominent places, the first being an MIT mailing list and the second being much more prominent, The American Law Review
The paper outlines a system very much like Bitcoin in which secure financial transactions are possible through the use of a decentralized network the researchers refer informally to as a Bank. They list four things as indispensable in their proposed network: privacy, user identification (protection against impersonation), message integrity (protection against tampering/substitution of transaction information – that is, protection against double-spending), and nonrepudiation (protection against later denial of a transaction – a blockchain!).
It is evident that SHA-256, the algorithm Satoshi used to secure Bitcoin, was not available because it came about in 2001. However, SHA-1 would have been available to them, having been published in 1993.
Why would the NSA want to do this? One simple reason: Control.
As we explain in Splitting Pennies – Understanding Forex – the primary means the US dominates the world is through economic policy, although backed by bombs. And the critical support of the US Dollar is primarily, the military. The connection between the military and the US Dollar system is intertwined inextricably. There are thousands of great examples only one of them being how Iraq switched to the Euro right before the Army’s invasion.
In October 2000 Iraq insisted on dumping the US dollar – ‘the currency of the enemy’ – for the more multilateral euro. The changeover was announced on almost exactly the same day that the euro reached its lowest ebb, buying just $0.82, and the G7 Finance Ministers were forced to bail out the currency. On Friday the euro had reached $1.08, up 30 per cent from that time.
Almost all of Iraq’s oil exports under the United Nations oil-for-food programme have been paid in euros since 2001. Around 26 billion euros (£17.4bn) has been paid for 3.3 billion barrels of oil into an escrow account in New York. The Iraqi account, held at BNP Paribas, has also been earning a higher rate of interest in euros than it would have in dollars.
The point here is there are a lot of different types of control. The NSA monitors and collects literally all electronic communications; internet, phone calls, everything. They listen in even to encrypted voice calls with high powered microphones, devices like cellphones equipped with recording devices (See original “Clipper” chip). It’s very difficult to communicate on planet Earth in private, without the NSA listening. So it is only logical that they would also want complete control of the financial system, including records of all electronic transactions, which Bitcoin provides.
Could there be an ‘additional’ security layer baked into the Blockchain that is undetectable, that allows the NSA to see more information about transactions, such as network location data? It wouldn’t be so far fetched, considering their past work, such as Xerox copy machines that kept a record of all copies made (this is going back to the 70’s, now it’s common). Of course security experts will point to the fact that this layer remains invisible, but if this does exist – of course it would be hidden.
More to the point about the success of Bitcoin – its design is very solid, robust, manageable – this is not the work of a student. Of course logically, the NSA employs individuals, and ultimately it is the work of mathematicians, programmers, and cryptographers – but if we deduce the most likely group capable, willing, and motivated to embark on such a project, the NSA is the most likely suspect. Universities, on the other hand, didn’t product white papers like this from 1996.
Another question is that if it was the NSA, why didn’t they go through more trouble concealing their identity? I mean, the internet is rife with theories that it was in fact the NSA/CIA and “Satoshi Nakamoto” means in Japanese “Central Intelligence” – well there are a few answers for this, but to be congruent with our argument, it fits their profile.
Where could this ‘hidden layer’ be? Many think it could be in the public SHA-256, developed by NSA (which ironically, was the encryption algorithm of choice for Bitcoin – they could have chosen hundreds of others, which arguably are more secure):
Claims that the NSA created Bitcoin have actually been flung around for years. People have questioned why it uses the SHA-256 hash function, which was designed by the NSA and published by the National Institute for Standards and Technology (NIST). The fact that the NSA is tied to SHA-256 leads some to assume it’s created a backdoor to the hash function that no one has ever identified, which allows it to spy on Bitcoin users.
“If you assume that the NSA did something to SHA-256, which no outside researcher has detected, what you get is the ability, with credible and detectable action, they would be able to forge transactions. The really scary thing is somebody finds a way to find collisions in SHA-256 really fast without brute-forcing it or using lots of hardware and then they take control of the network,” cryptography researcher Matthew D. Green of Johns Hopkins University said in a previous interview.
Then there’s the question of “Satoshi Nakamoto” – if it was in fact the NSA, why not just claim ownership of it? Why all the cloak and dagger? And most importantly, if Satoshi Nakamoto is a real person, and not a group that wants to remain secret – WHY NOT come forward and claim your nearly $3 Billion worth of Bitcoin (based on current prices).
Did the NSA create Satoshi Nakamoto?
The CIA Project, a group dedicated to unearthing all of the government’s secret projects and making them public, hasreleased a video claiming Bitcoin is actually the brainchild of the US National Security Agency.
The video entitled CIA Project Bitcoin: Is Bitcoin a CIA or NSA project? claims that there is a lot of compelling evidences that proves that the NSA is behind Bitcoin. One of the main pieces of evidence has to do with the name of the mysterious man, woman or group behind the creation of Bitcoin, “Satoshi Nakamoto”.
According to the CIA Project, Satoshi Nakamoto means “Central Intelligence” in Japanese. Doing a quick web search, you’ll find out that Satoshi is usually a name given for baby boys which means “clear thinking, quick witted, wise,” while Nakamoto is a Japanese surname which means ‘central origin’ or ‘(one who lives) in the middle’ as people with this surname are found mostly in the Ryukyu islands which is strongly associated with the Ry?ky? Kingdom, a highly centralized kingdom that originated from the Okinawa Islands. So combining Nakamoto and Satoshi can be loosely interpreted as “Central Intelligence”.
Is it so really hard to believe? This is from an organization that until the Snowden leaks, secretly recorded nearly all internet traffic on the network level by splicing fiber optic cables. They even have a deep-sea splicing mission that will cut undersea cables and install intercept devices. Making Bitcoin wouldn’t even be a big priority at NSA.
Certainly, anonymity is one of the biggest myths about Bitcoin. In fact, there has never been a more easily traceable method of payment. Every single transaction is recorded and retained permanently in the public “blockchain”. The idea that the NSA would create an anarchic, peer-to-peer crypto-currency in the hope that it would be adopted for nefarious industries and become easy to track would have been a lot more difficult to believe before the recent leaks by Edward Snowden and the revelation that billions of phone calls had been intercepted by the US security services. We are now in a world where we now know that the NSA was tracking the pornography habits of Islamic “radicalisers” in order to discredit them and making deals with some of the world’s largest internet firms to insert backdoors into their systems.
And we’re not the only ones who believe this, in Russia they ‘know’ this to be true without sifting through all the evidence.
Nonetheless, Svintsov’s remarks count as some of the more extreme to emanate from the discussion. Svintsov told Russian broadcast news agency REGNUM:“All these cryptocurrencies [were] created by US intelligence agencies just to finance terrorism and revolutions.”Svintsov reportedly went on to explain how cryptocurrencies have started to become a payment method for consumer spending, and cited reports that terrorist organisations are seeking to use the technology for illicit means.
Let’s elaborate on what is ‘control’ as far as the NSA is concerned. Bitcoin is like the prime mover. All future cryptocurrencies, no matter how snazzy or functional – will never have the same original keys as Bitcoin. It created a self-sustained, self-feeding bubble – and all that followed. It enabled law enforcement to collect a host of criminals on a network called “Silk Road” and who knows what other operations that happened behind the scenes. Because of pesky ‘domestic’ laws, the NSA doesn’t control the internet in foreign countries. But by providing a ‘cool’ currency as a tool, they can collect information from around the globe and like Facebook, users provide this information voluntarily. It’s the same strategy they use like putting the listening device in the chips at the manufacturing level, which saves them the trouble of wiretapping, electronic eavesdropping, and other risky methods that can fail or be blocked. It’s impossible to stop a cellphone from listening to you, for example (well not 100%, but you have to physically rewire the device). Bitcoin is the same strategy on a financial level – by using Bitcoin you’re giving up your private transactional information. By itself, it would not identify you per se (as the blockchain is ‘anonymous’ but the transactions are there in the public register, so combined with other information, which the NSA has a LOT OF – they can triangulate their information more precisely.
That’s one problem solved with Bitcoin – another being the economic problem of QE (although with a Bitcoin market cap of $44 Billion, that’s just another day at the Fed buying MBS) – and finally, it squashes the idea of sovereignty although in a very, very, very subtle way. You see, a country IS a currency. Until now, currency has always been tied to national sovereignty (although the Fed is private, USA only has one currency, the US Dollar, which is exclusively American). Bitcoin is a super-national currency, or really – the world’s first one world currency.
Of course, this is all great praise for the DOD which seems to have a 50 year plan – but after tens of trillions spent we’d hope that they’d be able to do something better than catching terrorists (which mostly are artificial terrorists)
submitted by PeopleWhoDied to conspiracy [link] [comments]

Anyone use market research? If so, care to share your source?

Greetings,
I've recently been searching for currency market research and have found that the institutional research from major banks isn't accessible to a small-time trader, such as myself. I've used several of the better known forex sites for news and analysis in the past, but this info is quite limited and I'd like more thorough data that takes into account fundamental and technical analysis.
I've seen some very useful reports from Citi, HSBC, Barclay's, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, and was wondering if anyone here: 1) uses such research in their trading, and 2) where you obtain your reports.
Looking forward to reading your replies. Cheers.
submitted by veryhuman to Forex [link] [comments]

Forex market vs Crypto market

Do you know that in 2017 the amount of the Forex market compose about 5.3 trillion. USD per day? 5.5% of this amount came to retail, and the remaining 94.5% to financial institutions (including 21% to Deutsche Bank). About 85% of transactions account for only 7 traded currency pairs out of 170, with a pair with the dollar taking part in 90% of trades. Geographically, most transactions (60%) are carried out in the UK (41%) and the United States (19%).
Amount of Forex market can be compared with 4% of world GDP, or X12 of the futures market, or X27 of the stock and securities market, or X53 trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The similarity of the principles of trade at the crypto and currency exchanges, as well as the growing demand for trade in crypto currency, led to the beginning of the integration of these two markets. A number of Forex brokers are already successfully working with bitcoins and alt-coins.
Despite the fact that recently trade in crypto-currencies has attracted more interest than the trade in other financial assets or shares, amount of trade in crypto-currency is much less than the amount of trades in traditional markets. Most of this amounts is provided by the work of the most popular centralized crypto-exchange exchanges. Decentralized exchanges show much smaller results, although they have many advantages in comparison with centralized ones.
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videos There's low light photos, then there's better low light photos, then there's awesome low light photos, and THEN there's the Sony α7S II. Sony
mildlyinteresting These door handles look like Lego lightsabers Lego
dataisbeautiful Life expectancy to break 90 barrier by 2030 - BBC News BBC
AskReddit Who here works at Target graveyard shift ? If so how is is ? Target
AskReddit What is the most underrated city in the United States for a recent college grad, in terms of being not too expensive but has a lot of great opportunities for well paying jobs? United
worldnews Australia PM takes aim at United Nations for 'one-sided resolutions' to Israeli-Palestinian conflict United
funny When you misread one little word and think the people at Dove want you to pretend you're Harry Potter... Dove
dataisbeautiful [The Power of Youtube Marketing ETRAFFICOC](https://www.reddit.com/dataisbeautiful/comments/5vfwyz/the_power_of_youtube_marketing_etrafficoc/)
UpliftingNews Teen who crashed into BMW finds out why honesty is the best policy BMW
AskReddit What are your favorite long-form Youtube channels to watch passively? Youtube
pics Great way to end the day! Orange County, Californ-i-a Orange
AskReddit If you know with certainty that in ten years Facebook will be passé, what is your best guess as to what happens? Facebook
explainlikeimfive ELI5:How does Youtube count the views on a video? Youtube
AskReddit What would Winston from 1984 think of the ambiguous nature of Hamlet? How would he react at the end of the play? Winston
personalfinance Leasing a BMW 3 series as a New College Grad BMW
AskReddit If Reddit users went to war vs Facebook users, who would win? Facebook
videos Astrology with Neil deGrasse Tyson & Joe Rogan Tyson
nottheonion Richmond bar becomes church to avoid ABC ratio law ABC
Documentaries The Life of Timothy Leary - BBC 2000 BBC
explainlikeimfive ELI5: Why do United States citizens are called Americans while in the rest of America we use a deviation of the country's name? United
news Sweden probes riot in mainly immigrant Stockholm suburb - BBC News BBC
mildlyinteresting This McDonald's has a gamecube station! McDonald's
EarthPorn Found this behind an abandoned Walmart today. 6000x4000 Walmart
AskReddit SeriousPeople from outside the United States, how do you feel about the way your country is portrayed in US films? United
todayilearned TIL to prove that people can't distinguish Clark Kent from Superman in public, Henry Cavill hung out in Times Square not even wearing glasses. No one recognized him. Kent
funny Watch these people take acid then attempt to build IKEA furniture IKEA
AskReddit Moving forward, how can the United States strive toward forming a single, relatively cohesive culture, and stop Balkanising along various politcal, philosophical and socioeconomic lines? United
personalfinance Started a new contract late last year and get payed through Paypal. Company not sending me 1099 and I was told that Paypal would send me the tax information regarding my income. Didn't reach the transaction minimum for Paypal to send out 1099k. Paypal
explainlikeimfive ELI5 how the Apple TV remote controls the TVs built-in speakers Apple
Showerthoughts You aren't being the person who Fred Rogers wanted you to be Rogers
videos Hilarious video of a man ordering a burnt Subway sandwich. Subway
OldSchoolCool My mother and Walt Disney July 19, 1955 Walt Disney
todayilearned TIL Mike Tyson began caring for pigeons as a child including throwing his first punch at a bully that killed one of his birds and continued the hobby into his adult life to cope with career failure and the death of his 4 year-old daughter. Tyson
AskReddit What to do if you fall for the Microsoft Zeus Virus scam? Microsoft
UpliftingNews Mystery Irish woman gives £50k fiver to charity - BBC News BBC
OldSchoolCool John Belushi & Chevy Chase 1976 Chase
worldnews Video shows Harrison Ford flying over plane before missed landing Ford
explainlikeimfive ELI5: In a Parliamentary system, how does this idea of democracy compare and contrast with the framers of the United States Constitutions vision of representative government? United
AskReddit Why would a thinking person continue to use Facebook in 2017? Facebook
AskReddit If you could choose one rock star to become the next president of the United States, who would it be? United
news Video shows Harrison Ford flying over plane before missed landing Ford
personalfinance What's the minimum required income and credit score for a Bank of America Better Balance Reward card? Bank of America
pics Neil deGrasse Tyson in high school wrestling match Tyson
AskReddit How would the future look now if Microsoft never bought Rare and Nintendo still owned the bulk shares? Microsoft
personalfinance Debt collectors keep calling about a non existent $600 AT&T debt; I have never used AT&T. AT&T
personalfinance How much can you make driving for Uber part time? Uber
AskReddit What kind of responses does the U.S. President receive on Twitter to his highly polarizing online statements? Twitter
OldSchoolCool Neil deGrasse Tyson in a high school wrestling match 1976 Tyson
Jokes The Subway I go to uses the metric system. Subway
AskReddit For those against deportation of illegal aliens in the United States. Why are you againt it? United
AskReddit Why are you against deportation of illegal aliens in the United States? United
mildlyinteresting My University's repair company truck has the same color scheme as the adjacent FedEx drop box FedEx
Art "Key Warden of the eternity Gate" Digital Vector Illustration in Adobe Draw Ipad Pro. Adobe
food HOMEMADE Orange Chicken with Rice and Broccoli Orange
funny Apparently McDonald's hides their sauces in the ceiling now. McDonald's
AskReddit For non-US Redditors, is the United States showing you something that is surprising? Reddit is anti-Trump, obviously. Do you think there are dangers in exposing that our country is so divided? United
worldnews Ex-Forex Traders in Singapore Get Jail Time for Cheating Banks - Two former currency traders from Deutsche Bank AG and HSBC Holdings Plc were sentenced to jail terms of as long as 15 weeks for cheating the banks by making false trades. HSBC
worldnews Ex-Forex Traders in Singapore Get Jail Time for Cheating Banks - Two former currency traders from Deutsche Bank AG and HSBC Holdings Plc were sentenced to jail terms of as long as 15 weeks for cheating the banks by making false trades. Deutsche Bank
videos An Honest KFC ad - 'Strya Cuntz' KFC
funny When the Facebook comments don't fail you... Facebook
news Video of Harrison Ford flying over an airliner emerges video in the article Ford
personalfinance Best way to pay off two Chase credit cards.. Chase
gaming Bill Gates holding an Xbox controller, a cheeseburger, and a smile. Xbox
todayilearned TIL Malta was the first to fine €3,000 for each racist Facebook post Facebook
worldnews The mystery of the anti-UKIP Twitter machine Twitter
worldnews Kim Jong-nam killing: Malaysia seeks North Korea embassy official - BBC News BBC
gifs Helicopter Falls Rapidly Out of the Sky In Urban Area Sky
AskReddit What is the best way to spend a £50 Google play voucher? Google
AskReddit What's the weirdest thing you have found on Google Maps? Google
movies Awesome Ghost in The Shell poster at the Cinema Shell
philosophy On the subject of Analytical Philosophy and Continental Philosophy Continental
WritingPrompts WP Pooping is now a Major League Sport is the United States and you have just begun your journey to win the Championship Pooping Belt United
AskReddit What are some tips for Sony Vegas editing? Plugins? Sony
movies Maverick Japanese Director Seijun Suzuki Dies at 93 Suzuki
gifs Footage released by John Wayne Airport in California on Tuesday shows a single-engine plane piloted by Harrison Ford mistakenly flying low over an airliner that was taxiing Ford
news New TV channel for BBC in Scotland BBC
videos Bicycle 1 - Ferrari 0 Ferrari
videos High-pitched voice theory - Neanderthal - BBC science BBC
Futurology The 2018 LC 500 isn't another Toyota dressed for the ball, it's Lexus reborn Toyota
Futurology The 2018 LC 500 isn't another Toyota dressed for the ball, it's Lexus reborn Lexus
worldnews UK economy grows faster than thought - BBC News BBC
news New TV channel for BBC in Scotland - BBC
movies Review: The Lego Dark Knight Beigns 2017 Lego
Music Green Day - Macy's Day Parade Alternative/Indie Macy's
worldnews Footage released of Harrison Ford's plane near-miss - BBC News BBC
AskReddit Facebook users of Reddit, what's the stupidest thing you've ever gotten into a Facebook argument about? Facebook
videos Ghost In the Shell 1995 - Chase Scene Shell
videos Ghost In the Shell 1995 - Chase Scene Chase
worldnews Man jailed for live-streaming Cardiff court case - BBC News BBC
news Bull Captured After Leading Police On Chase In Jamaica, Queens Has Died Chase
Jokes Whenever I see an Xbox 360 Xbox
funny Kublai Khan. If this reaches the front page it will be the top Google search of the top Google search for Kublai Khan. Google
todayilearned TIL Mike Tyson has coped with negative emotions throughout his life by caring for pigeons. As a child he suffered bullying & depression the first punch he ever threw was at a bully that killed one of his birds & as an adult with his sunk career and death of his 4 year-old daughter. Tyson
funny Seen at Walmart in OKC........ Walmart
Music Miley Cyrus and Flaming Lips - Lucy In The Sky With Diamonds Psychedelia Sky
AskReddit People of Walmart that voted for Trump, what do you think of his performance thus far? Walmart
AskReddit Why are Youtube beauty gurus so much naturally beautiful? Is it a trick or harsh reality? Youtube
EarthPorn The Barren Spell Continues. Glutton Bridge, England, United Kingdom. By Andrew Mowbray 2048 X 1161. United
pics Neil deGrasse Tyson at a high school wrestling match Tyson
explainlikeimfive ELI5: What would the United States look like today if no humans have ever explored the land? United
AskReddit How often does Google preform a backup on Android? Google
nosleep It was all because I clicked on a Facebook invitation Facebook
Jokes You stole my Microsoft Office and for that you’re going to pay... Microsoft
AskReddit Breaking News Donald Trump will be the 45th President of the United States. What can we expect from Donald Trump? United
worldnews Kevin O'Leary: Canada's Donald Trump? - BBC News BBC
movies Cult Japanese Helmer Seijun Suzuki Dies Tokyo Drifter, Branded to Kill Suzuki
gaming How cool? Lego Defender Arcade Cabinet. Lego
funny Only on Facebook 🙄 Facebook
videos the cast of Sesame Street Google Sesame Street and themselves Google
personalfinance Incorrect balance in online Chase account..? 30 dollars more than it should be Chase
pics Has anyone ever noticed that the optical sensor on the old Dell mice is shifted to the LEFT by like, three millimetres? I have. And now I'm angry. Dell
UpliftingNews Teen in China crashes into BMW and learns why honesty is the best policy BMW
explainlikeimfive ELI5: Was the United States really protecting Latin America from European colonization with the Monroe Doctrine? United
gadgets AMD Ryzen pricing: $500 for 8-core 1800X CPU, undercutting Intel by $600 Intel
movies Review: The Lego Dark Knight Begins 2017 Lego
worldnews Sweden’s official Twitter account debunks Donald Trump claims line by line Twitter
mildlyinteresting These slices of bread with spreads of varying colors look like a meal from a Michelin star restaurant. Michelin
worldnews Facebook confusion over fake cancer babies U-turn - BBC News BBC
worldnews Police appoints first female chief Cressida Dick - BBC News BBC
AskReddit Microsoft programmers: How does Microsoft spin writing spy software for Windows 10 around the office to make it look like something totally acceptable? Microsoft
explainlikeimfive ELI5: What causes the Coca-Cola and Liquid Nitrogen bottle rocket to take off "like a rocket"? Coca-Cola
mildlyinteresting When you Google "vice president of the united states" you still get far more responses for Joe Biden than Mike Pence Google
AskReddit Reddit, what's your most crazy true Waffle House OR Walmart story? Walmart
WritingPrompts WP A 2nd American civil war between California and its allies versus the United States. United
worldnews Green campaigners welcome Coca-Cola U-turn on bottle & can recycling scheme - Environmentalists hail ‘landmark moment’ as world’s biggest soft drinks company agrees to set up pilot scheme in Scotland Coca-Cola
Showerthoughts Imagine if Facebook and Whatsapp notified you when someone took a screenshot of your conversation..... Facebook
AskReddit Serious What is your favorite Twitter account? Twitter
Showerthoughts Chuck E. Cheese's are a farm system for kids to become Casino enthusiasts as adults Casino
movies My partner and I recorded an episode of our podcast reviewing The Lego Batman Movie. Lego
worldnews Beware! Don't Fall For "Font Wasn't Found" Google Chrome Malware Scam Google
Showerthoughts With all the tracking Google does, you'd think they'd show me some ads for products I'd actually buy. Google
mildlyinteresting 3 separate photos taken of the finish of my race, stitched together beautifully by Google Photos. The only discernable mistake is the man standing by the water. Google
AskReddit Serious Drunks of Reddit, what is the perfect Taco Bell order? Bell
photoshopbattles PsBattle: Bill Gates holding an Xbox controller and cheeseburger Xbox
AskReddit What are some things that the Liberals and Conservatives in the United States can agree on TODAY? United
sports [Why it matters that Bills QB Tyrod Taylor reportedly has a clean bill of health FOX Sports](https://www.reddit.com/sports/comments/5vjiok/why_it_matters_that_bills_qb_tyrod_taylo)
funny How to Pronounce Porsche - Tom School Porsche
videos Pinocchio's story as told by a Playstation 2 Game... Playstation
todayilearned TIL in addition to patenting the first practical telephone, Alexander Graham Bell developed a hydrofoil motorboat that broke the world marine speed record. Bell
news Panda's first flight: FedEx sends Bao Bao to China FedEx
todayilearned TIL Neil deGrasse Tyson Was an Undefeated Jigh School Wrestling Captain and Wrestled for Harvard Tyson
videos BEYOND BORDERS - The BMW Motorrad LEGO bike BMW
videos Every Nike Commercial Nike
AskReddit People who have lived all over the United States, where are your favorite/least favorite places to live? United
funny Apparently Victoria's Secret forgot how to photo shop. NSFW Victoria's Secret
movies in the Lego batman movie they kept calling the Daleks "British robots". did the film makes genuinely not know the daleks aren't technically robots, or is the idea that the kid playing with the lego in the real world doesn't know what they are? Lego
space Neil DeGrasse Tyson discussing what NASA could be announcing today. Potential atmosphere readings very well explained. Tyson
news Here's the best argument for Apple buying Netflix Apple
worldnews Switzerland's ABB hit by $100 million South Korean fraud ABB
worldnews Switzerland's ABB company hit by $100 million South Korean fraud ABB
nottheonion McDonald's reengineered the straw and is marketing it like an Apple product. Apple
space Labour deputy leader 'dabs' during PMQs - BBC News BBC
Showerthoughts What if Apple had made The Matrix? What would it look like? Apple
funny This showed up on my Facebook feed Facebook
todayilearned TIL Carmel, Indiana has become internationally known for its roundabout network. It now has 100 roundabouts, more than any other city in the United States. United
AskReddit What is a Youtube channel that you always watch but would never subscribe to? Youtube
AskReddit Serious Who was actually the worst U.S. president in United States history? United
videos Neil DeGrasse Tyson tells Joe Rogan that some infinities are bigger than others Tyson
space Star's seven Earth-sized worlds set record - BBC News BBC
space Astronomers Discover 7 Earth-Like Planets Orbiting Nearby Star Discover
worldnews Mexico will not accept new "unilateral" U.S. immigration proposals, and will not hesitate in approaching the United Nations to defend immigrants, the country's Foreign Minister Luis Videgaray said on Wednesday, ahead of a meeting with senior U.S. officials. United
worldnews Star's seven Earth-sized worlds set record - BBC News BBC
AskReddit Besides Donald Trump, which meme would you want elected into office as president of the United States? United
AskReddit In regards to the "Miracle on Ice" anniversary, what are some other amazing underdog stories from other countries victories against the United States? United
gaming Possibly Sony's best un-official Playstation gaming headphones - The Sony MDR-ZX110NA Overhead Noise Cancelling Headphones.#bargain Sony
gaming Possibly Sony's best un-official Playstation gaming headphones - The Sony MDR-ZX110NA Overhead Noise Cancelling Headphones.#bargain Playstation
science Star's seven Earth-sized worlds set record - BBC News BBC
gifs Harrison Ford landing on a taxiway at SNA Ford
mildlyinteresting There's a mummified gecko in my tail light. Yes, I have Geico insurance Geico
Music Frida Amundsen - Nothing Compares 2U Piano Cover After watching the Google Pixel commercial, I had to figure out who this was. Amazing cover. Google
tifu TIFU by pasting theLegend27 in a Google Doc Google
history The Untold History of the United States accuracy United
Jokes Have you noticed that if you Google the phrase, "Lost mediaeval servant boy"... Google
mildlyinteresting This McDonald's has a hand sanitizer dispenser on the bathroom door handle McDonald's
news Astronomers Discover 7 Earth-sized Planets Orbiting Nearby Star Discover
photoshopbattles PsBattle: McDonald's in 1980 McDonald's
funny The all new Suzuki Swfit Suzuki
AskReddit What are the "hidden gems" of Apple apps? Apple
personalfinance How to not pay the $95 annual fee on your Chase Sapphire Preferred card year 2+ Chase
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